Weight problems is arguably the defining well being problem of the twenty first Century. World Well being Organisation information reveals that 43% of over-18s are obese, and 16% are overweight. Within the US, the grownup weight problems price is much increased than the worldwide common, at 43%, with an incalculable impression on the nation’s well being, high quality of life, and financial wellbeing.

There’s a lengthy historical past of medical interventions designed to assist folks management their weight, none of which have halted the rise in weight problems. Nevertheless, the emergence of a number of medication that mimic the impact of the GLP-1 hormone —together with Ozempic, Wegovy, and Mountjaro— might be essentially the most promising avenue thus far.

The early indicators of the Ozempic weight reduction period
Predictably, these medication are attracting big business and media consideration. Our Senior Marketing consultant, Vivienne Rudd mentioned the impression on the magnificence market with Cosmetics Design Europe. Moreover, I used to be just lately requested by BBC Information to debate how these medication are affecting consumer-facing industries, how they’re driving the conversations that we’re having with our purchasers at Mintel, and the broader implications for society. Watch the interview beneath.
This BBC interview barely scratched the floor of what Mintel is already studying in regards to the medication’ affect. All through this text, our Mintel Consultants Vivienne Rudd and Jonny Forsyth —our Senior Director of Mintel Meals & Drink— present insights on consumer-facing industries, highlighting the broad-based modifications we’re noticing.

The US leads the way in which in the case of the usage of these weight reduction medication, despite the fact that Ozempic is technically solely authorized as a diabetic therapy within the US. Mintel’s Weight Administration Traits Report reveals that 15% of US adults who’re at the moment attempting to handle their weight are utilizing certainly one of these medication, and 21% are occupied with doing so sooner or later. The medication are much less available in lots of different markets, however shopper curiosity remains to be big. Within the UK, for instance, 25% of adults can be occupied with utilizing injectable weight reduction medication.

As anybody who’s ever struggled to keep up a wholesome weight will affirm, it’s so much simpler (and extra pleasing) to realize weight than dropping it. We’re surrounded by simply accessible, inexpensive and scrumptious meals, and busy lives imply that discovering the time and willpower for train is difficult. It’s no shock that GLP-1 medication have seized the general public’s creativeness.
Latest Mintel analysis covers the impression of GLP-1 medication on the food and drinks business (consumer entry solely) and our findings level out that earlier makes an attempt to “medicate away” weight problems have failed. The likes of Ozempic might comply with the same path: preliminary pleasure on the thought of a “magic bullet” adopted by disillusionment.
However the sheer scale of the weight problems disaster signifies that if (and it’s a giant “if”) the GLP-1 medication do have a sustainable impression on weight management, the impression will go approach past well being. From vogue to foodservice to leisure, it’ll have an effect on an enormous section of shopper spending.
“Each chew counts”
One concern linked to GLP-1 use is the impression of a discount in meals consumption on vitamin. Merely put, if persons are consuming much less, they should ensure that they’re nonetheless getting the vitamins wanted to keep up their well being.

One specialist vitamin model who’s main within the purposeful meals sector is Abbott and their launch of Protality, a high-protein, low-fat and -carbohydrate shake designed to fight potential muscle loss from medicine utilization.

Dietrary complement firm Herbalife has additionally launched vitamin merchandise designed to assist GLP-1 customers. In retail, international dietary complement retailer GNC was the primary to launch an in-store GLP-1 assist program to fight medicine negative effects.

Nevertheless, there’s one other strategy to this increasing problem. A number of meals manufacturers are creating meal options in response to the Ozempic period that designed to pack the utmost quantity of vitamin into smaller parts. In Could 2024, Nestlé launched Important Pursuit, a line of meals designed to be a companion to GLP-1 customers, and plant-based frozen meal supply service Every day Harvest has taken the same strategy.

GLP-1 has the potential to rewire a number of sectors
There have been loads of disappointments concerning weight reduction options. Preliminary pleasure fades, and weight problems continues to rise. At Mintel, we aren’t medical professionals, so we can’t decide whether or not GLP-1 medication will comply with the same trajectory to earlier miracle cures.
Nevertheless, Mintel is an professional in predicting traits in market dynamics, innovation, and shopper behaviour. Ozempic and comparable medication may have a big impact on a number of markets in the event that they ship on present expectations.
Food and drinks shall be on the forefront of market disruption
Most clearly, they’ll shift shopper preferences and innovation within the food and drinks business. Basically, GPL-1 medication work by decreasing urge for food and cravings and, in flip, decreasing the variety of energy that persons are consuming. And the straightforward assumption can be that fewer energy consumed will imply decrease gross sales for food and drinks manufacturers.
In actuality, although, there’s zero probability that meals manufacturers will sit again and watch this occurring. It’s probably the most relentlessly modern consumer-facing sectors, and people innovation groups are already beginning to reply. The alcohol sector, for instance, reveals how innovation and premiumisation can protect worth gross sales even the place quantity is falling.
Importantly, manufacturers have some respiratory house to formulate the simplest response. Even within the US, solely a minority of shoppers are utilizing these medication, they usually’re much more area of interest exterior that market. Price, provide chain challenges and regulatory points imply that the total impression isn’t going to be felt for years. That doesn’t imply that manufacturers can afford to take a seat again although, particularly as so lots of the attainable responses match so nicely with current traits out there.

“Much less however higher” food and drinks innovation
GLP-1 medication open up a number of avenues for innovation, a lot of them centering on the thought of “much less, however higher”. Nestlé’s launch of Important Pursuit factors the way in which: high-quality, nutrient-dense merchandise designed to make it possible for persons are nonetheless getting the vitamin they want even when they’re consuming fewer energy. This concern about sustaining vitamin on a decrease calorie consumption will push by means of into innovation round dietary supplements, and a blurring of the boundaries between pure dietary supplements and purposeful meals.
The impression of GLP-1 medication is prone to be most disruptive within the snacking sector. Manufacturers have been endlessly creative in creating new consumption events and merchandise that fulfill our want for a fast pick-up. GLP-1’s impression on satiety and the reported diminished person cravings will hit ordinary snackers’ tendency to graze mindlessly.
However once more, “much less however higher” might assist keep the sector’s worth. Any of us who wrestle with willpower know that that suggestion to “fulfill your cravings with one or two squares of actually good darkish chocolate” is wishful considering. For many people, if that bar of chocolate goes to be opened, then it’s going to be completed in a single sitting. Perhaps Ozempic is the willpower increase we have to eat like a wellbeing influencer lastly?
Importantly, these are all innovation traits that Mintel has been monitoring and recommending for a while. Meals as drugs, much less however higher, excessive protein, extra conscious snacking – they’re all product positionings that already resonate with shoppers, whether or not or not they’re utilizing GLP-1 medication. What the likes of Ozempic will do is keep the momentum of those traits.
The sweetness and private care business will even be impacted
It’s not simply meals that shall be affected. My colleagues on Mintel’s Consulting group, Vivienne Rudd and Alisha Taylor, have already finished in depth work to know and predict the impression on the sweetness sector. Specifically, there’s room for innovation to counteract “Ozempic face” – the time period used to explain speedy weight reduction’s impression on pores and skin firmness and glow.

Utilizing the US as a check market, they used superior information analytics to trace the prevalence of collagen rising and plumping claims in new magnificence and private care product launches. That evaluation discovered that the claims are nonetheless comparatively area of interest, however that they’re rising considerably.
Challenger manufacturers are already responding. On the Cosmoprof Las Vegas commerce present final yr Vivienne and Alisha noticed examples of merchandise claiming to fight collagen depletion. The massive alternative for the business leaders is to make use of their innovation experience to create science-driven formulations, after which their advertising muscle to boost consciousness of those claims within the broader market.

Trying additional forward: a societal shift?
Once you look previous shopper packaged items (CPG), the impression of GLP-1 medication is much less simple to foretell – however arguably much more disruptive. Meals is central to so many areas of the human expertise. It’s not simply gas. It’s how we look after ourselves, and for the folks we love. It’s on the coronary heart of how nearly each tradition socialises. If our perspective to meals modifications, then so will a number of industries.
Foodservice and the broader leisure sector, for instance, is already being affected by altering attitudes in the direction of alcohol consumption. Within the UK, we’ve seen a transfer away from our conventional emphasis on alcohol-facilitated social actions, and a development within the likes of escape rooms, aggressive socialising, and dessert bars.
Ozempic might result in even better disruption. Going out for dinner shall be a lot much less interesting when half the desk has dramatically diminished appetites and spends the meal pushing a half-finished pizza round their plate.
Wish to know extra? Simply ask us
Right here at Mintel, we’re specialists in innovation. We’re already figuring out many of those traits by means of our professional analysts and by monitoring product launches on our international new merchandise database (GNPD). From modifications in ingredient and claims structure to broader scanning of shopper traits, Mintel Consulting can assist you determine what’s already occurring in your sector, predict what’s coming subsequent, and perceive what it means for your enterprise’s technique.
Get in contact right now with Mintel Consulting to study extra about how we will use our strategies to assist drive your development methods.