Saturday, November 25, 2023
HomeProduct ManagementAs a Human, I’m Excited About AI. As an Investor, I’m Nonetheless Wrestling...

As a Human, I’m Excited About AI. As an Investor, I’m Nonetheless Wrestling With a Few Questions


Riffing Off VC Charles Hudson’s Weblog Put up, Right here’s What I’m Making an attempt to Reply

a bunch of various robots working a race, digital artwork [DALL-E]

If startup founders generally ‘Construct in Public,’ is the analogou sventure capitalist motto to ‘Suppose in Public?’ Anyway, there’s little doubt that the story of the trailing months has been Synthetic Intelligence. Over Homebrew’s first decade we’ve all the time been desirous about what we’ve referred to as ‘Utilized AI’ (together with Utilized CV, Utilized ML)— alternatives the place the know-how itself was being prolonged and commercialized for a particular goal (contrasted with core R&D or base mannequin growth). Firms akin to Defend.aiKettle, and MasterfulAI, amongst many others, had been Homebrew investments which match this definition. However it’s additionally clear we’re at a brand new inflection level the place our earlier hypotheses wanted to be up to date. So like a stone in a sprucing tumbler, ‘what are our rules right here’ had been tossing round my head for a handful of quarters. After which I learn Charles Hudson’s submit, which prompted me [AI PUN] to only write this down.

In “Sincere and Naive Questions from a Generalist Seed VC Grappling with the Generative AI Revolution,” Charles (whom I like) touches on similarish subjects to what Satya and I’ve been chatting about.

I. Base Fashions

  • Given group, information, and compute prices, will the ‘worth of entry’ and ‘worth of innovation’ on base fashions enhance or lower over time
  • Will completely different information sorts produce/require their very own base fashions, and below what circumstances are these base fashions prone to be produced by completely different firms/sources vs below a single company umbrella
  • How does one measure ‘high quality’ and what traits will base mannequin homeowners compete on apart from ‘high quality’ [price, latency, privacy, etc]

II. AI ‘Middleware’

  • In a multi-base mannequin world, received’t there be some worth created by dynamically switching between fashions relying on the use case? Gained’t most software homeowners who search to combine ‘AI’ be desirous about “greatest outcomes” extra so than having to decide on a mannequin upfront
  • Will this middleware layer have entry to sufficient mannequin attributes to even know when/tips on how to handle between fashions
  • Can these firms shield their margins or will they be topic to both (a) intense competitors pushing margins right down to ‘base mannequin question worth + just a few foundation factors or (b) the bottom mannequin firms behaving just like the file labels and mainly being very deliberate about taking the vast majority of income created by a service constructed on prime of their IP
  • Will middleware be capable to increase the bottom fashions with new proprietary information with the intention to create a differentiated product
  • Will middleware firms search to combination proprietary information sources with the intention to enhance base fashions in distinctive methods

III. AI ‘Native’ Purposes

  • What are the circumstances by which the addition of AI catalyzes new product choices constructed round this know-how versus ‘AI’ being a function that the market main purposes can construct into their platforms. Will Zendesk get replaced by an AI Buyer Help startup or does Zendesk combine AI. Repeat this query for every thing B2B.
  • OpenAI is a for-profit, working a enterprise fund, and so forth — what sorts of ‘partnership threat’ is there in backing alternate options who’re competing with OpenAI funded startups. Are all the bottom fashions doing to make use of their money to try to develop their very own ecosystems and implicitly/explicitly attempt to choose profitable apps?
  • What’s going to the engineering groups at ‘non-native’ adopters must appear to be with the intention to efficiently combine, handle and compete with the native apps
  • Will companies who imagine they’ve proprietary information to could assist enhance base fashions be capable to promote that information and/or ‘pay it in’ to the mannequin in return for discounted utilization? Will they search to create improved layers atop the bottom fashions

You probably have POVs right here I’m all the time blissful to listen to from you [hunter at homebrew dot co]! Bear in mind, we make investments our private capital (usually a $100k-$500k preliminary funding, though capacity to go bigger when applicable) in your firms after which get to work supporting you.

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