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The Artwork of Product Experimentation: Unleashing the Energy of the Fact Curve | by Eduardo Mignot | Could, 2023


The Fact Curve is a strong visualization software that helps us decide the suitable degree of effort to spend money on experiments and validate our hypotheses (Jeff Gothelf, “The Fact Curve,” February 25, 2023). The curve consists of two axes:

  • the Y axis represents the extent of proof supporting our speculation
  • the X axis represents the growing effort and scope devoted to the experiment.
The reality curve from Jeff Gothelf

1.1) The Land of Wishful Considering:

Within the preliminary levels of exploring a brand new speculation, we discover ourselves within the Land of Wishful Considering. With restricted proof, our aim is to be taught rapidly and inexpensively. This section entails using varied strategies to check our product, starting from statement to optimization. A few of these strategies embrace:

Paper Prototype:

  • Paper prototyping permits us to create and check doable designs rapidly and cost-effectively. BlueDuck Labs exhibits us an awesome instance of how simply utilizing easy drawings can collect treasured insights that can have a big impact in your growth.

Pre-order Web page:

  • A pre-order web page allows potential prospects to precise their curiosity in a services or products earlier than its official launch, offering beneficial insights into market demand.
Photograph by rupixen.com on Unsplash

Explainer Movies:

  • Explainer movies illustrate how a services or products works, even when the product isn’t absolutely useful but. They assist convey the worth proposition and generate early curiosity.
  • Dropbox raised $48 million in funding earlier than they even constructed their product. They did this by creating an explainer video that defined what Dropbox was and the way it could work. The video was well-produced and visually interesting, and it helped to lift consciousness of the corporate and its product. The video was a key think about Dropbox’s success, and it’s a beneficial software for any startup (Dropbox Raised $48,000,000 With Their Explainer Video, motioncue.com).
The dropbox explainer video is a case examine on how you can construct consciousness with out having a Product developed but

Touchdown Pages:

  • Touchdown web page assessments function commercials for our concept, presenting the worth proposition, name to motion, and conversion mechanism.
Photograph by Igor Miske on Unsplash

Function Faux:

  • Function Faux experiments create the phantasm of a characteristic by way of buttons or hyperlinks, resulting in a managed end result. They assist handle buyer expectations and keep away from disappointment.
  • Spotify leveraged this technique to check their speculation that customers are prepared to pay extra for premium audio high quality. By providing an improve possibility and indicating that it was coming quickly, they measured the sign-up price to find out the demand for the characteristic earlier than investing in its growth. (Spotify Is Now Testing Its HiFi Function Forward of Launch, Makeofus.com)
Spotify Function Faux for “Spotify HI-FI”

Concierge MVP:

  • Concierge MVP entails personally offering all capabilities of the services or products to particular person prospects, fixing their issues one-on-one. It permits us to validate the viability of the providing earlier than scaling it.
  • Hire the Runway, for instance, validated its on-line costume rental mannequin by providing an in-person service to school college students, permitting them to strive on attire earlier than renting. This efficient concierge MVP not solely validated the riskiest speculation but in addition engaged prospects, gathering invaluable suggestions to refine the enterprise (Constructing a minimal viable product, Harvard Enterprise Evaluation).
Hire The Runway is a good instance of concierge MVP

Wizard of Oz:

  • Wizard of Oz experiments educate us how you can ship a service with out constructing the complete infrastructure. For instance, we are able to create a web site the place customers can buy merchandise, whereas manually dealing with the logistics behind the scenes.
  • Zappos, as an illustration, kick-started its journey by showcasing shoe pictures from native shops on a web site to gauge demand for a web based retailer. This hands-on method fostered beneficial buyer interplay through the product design section. Straight observing actual prospects supplies actionable insights surpassing hypothetical surveys and accelerates the identification of real options to buyer issues. (15 methods to check your minimal viable product, The Subsequent Net).

1.2) Constructing Confidence:

Light-weight Experiments As we gather constructive proof by way of these light-weight experiments, our confidence grows. These strategies assist us assess curiosity, validate assumptions, and acquire beneficial insights, justifying additional funding in subsequent experiments.

2.1) Drawback/Resolution Match:

Advancing on the Fact Curve, we transition to the section of discovering drawback/resolution match. Right here, we give attention to testing whether or not our product successfully solves an actual drawback for purchasers. The emphasis shifts from “Ought to we construct it?” to “Can we construct a sustainable enterprise with this concept?” Experimentation strategies for this stage could embrace clickable prototypes or Wizard of Oz experiments, the place the entrance finish is absolutely developed whereas the again finish is operated by hand.

Product/Market Match:

With growing constructive suggestions and proof, we enter the realm of product/market match. On this stage, we decide if the answer is viable as a sustainable enterprise and price scaling. The query evolves from “Can we construct it?” to “Ought to we construct it?” Reaching product/market match requires extra substantial funding and rigorous validation by way of consumer testing, A/B testing, and different experiments (Product Market Match, productplan.com).

The Product Market Match (PFM) Pyramid

3.1) Cease and Appropriate Your Course:

All through the product growth journey, it’s essential to concentrate to the suggestions and information collected from experiments. If detrimental suggestions or flaws in our assumptions emerge, we have to be prepared to cease and reassess the viability of our concept. This second requires potential pivots and even the choice to desert the idea totally and pursue different hypotheses.

Photograph by Will Porada on Unsplash

3.2) Adjusting the Studying Questions:

As we progress on the Fact Curve, the questions we ask about our speculation change. Within the early levels, we give attention to drawback/resolution match. As we transfer in direction of product/market match, the emphasis shifts to sustainability and enterprise viability. Every stage calls for a reassessment of a very powerful learnings and the least quantity of labor wanted to amass them.

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